January 24, 2022

Taubira at 7% in a Cluster 17 poll, ahead of Jadot and Hidalgo

POLICY – Nice score of Taubira for a first simulation. Emmanuel Macron would come first in the first round of the presidential election ahead of Valérie Pécresse, according to a study published this Thursday, December 23 by a new polling institute, Cluster17, which tested for the first time the potential candidacy of Christiane Taubira, given to 7%.

Christiane Taubira, who said last Friday “consider” a candidacy for the Elysee Palace, would arrive in front of her left competitors Yannick Jadot (5%) and Anne Hidalgo (2%) but behind Jean-Luc Mélenchon (12%), according to this investigation.

Created in November 2021 and made up of academics, statisticians and employees of the research and communication sector, Cluster17 has developed a methodological approach which “is based on a segmentation of French society into 16 homogeneous groups”, called “clusters ”, Can we read on his site.

Zemmour, Le Pen and Mélenchon shoulder to shoulder

In this poll, the outgoing head of state, not yet officially a candidate for re-election, is credited with 20% of the voting intentions in the first round – a score lower than the estimates made by the majority of other institutes -, ahead of the candidate LR Valérie Pécresse (16%).

Eric Zemmour (14%), Marine Le Pen (13%) on the far right, and Jean-Luc Mélenchon, at the other end of the political spectrum, would be neck and neck behind the leading duo.

Voting intentions do not constitute a forecast of the outcome of the ballot. They give an indication of the balance of power and dynamics on the day of the survey.

Hidalgo won’t step down if Taubira shows up

Socialist presidential candidate Anne Hidalgo will not withdraw if the former Minister of Justice presents her candidacy in January, she assured this Thursday on BFMTV.

“Absolutely no,” said Anne Hidalgo, when asked about a possible withdrawal. The irruption of Christiane Taubira, “it is an additional candidacy, and me in my case I propose a primary of the left”, recalled the mayor of Paris, credited between 3 and 7% in the polls.

“The population wants it, you have 85% of French women and men who say they are on the left who call this primary”, she explained, even if “it has not escaped her” that for the moment none of her main competitors on the left do not wish to participate.

“A primary is the best way to choose transparently” a single candidate on the left, she insisted.

This survey was carried out via a self-administered online questionnaire from December 19 to 22, 2021, with 1466 people registered on the electoral rolls from a sample of 1554 people representative of the French population aged 18 and over, according to the quota method.

Among this sample of 1,466 people, 1,419 expressed an intention to vote. Margin of error between 1.2 and 2.7 percentage points.

See also on The HuffPost: Presidential: Christiane Taubira “plans” to be a candidate and “gives an appointment in mid-January