January 24, 2022

PSG – Real Madrid, LOSC – Chelsea, OM – Vitesse Arnhem … The most probable draws!

Zapping But! Football Club RC Lens: The question of the week

This Monday, during the lunch break, we will know the draw for the round of 16 of the Champions League as well as the play-offs for the 8th of the Europa League and the Europa League Conference. If OL, AS Monaco and Stade Rennais will spend the winter warm, PSG, Lille and OM are on the bridge … With more or less likely opponents depending on the regulations prohibiting two clubs from ‘the same country to confront each other.

LOSC not helped by its status as French favorite

French mathematician based in New York, Julien Guyon had fun calculating which were the most probable draws of all the clubs involved in all the competitions. In the Champions League, PSG has a 19.36% chance of inheriting Real Madrid against “only” 13.53% of chances of seeing Ajax Amsterdam or Bayern Munich, its two least likely opponents. On the Lille side, we are not helped by the nationalities present in the following round. Indeed, LOSC has a 25.19% chance of facing Chelsea, reigning European champion and only English second in its group. The Mastiffs have only a 13.13% chance of taking the two Portuguese Sporting and Benfica, their most unlikely opponents (unfortunately).

After Rennes, OM at full speed?

In the Europa League Conference, OM – which appears with PSV Eindhoven, Fenerbahçe or Leicester City ogre – has fairly tight probabilities. If the Vitesse Arnhem is its most likely opponent (15.89%) and the Phoceans have a little more chance to draw the Danes from Randers (13.29%) and the Czechs from Slavia Prague (13.29%) , the chances of taking other opponents are balanced.

Italians for Barça?

Finally, in the Europa League, no French competes in the play-offs but the ogre FC Barcelona is promised increased difficulty. His two most likely opponents, tied at 18.02%, are Napoli and Lazio de Rome.

to summarize

This Monday, during the lunch break, we will know the draw for the round of 16 of the Champions League as well as the play-offs for the 8th of the Europa League and the Europa League Conference. If OL, AS Monaco and Stade Rennais will spend the winter warm, PSG, Lille and OM are on the bridge … With more or less likely opponents depending on the regulations prohibiting two clubs from ‘the same country to confront each other.