January 18, 2022

Pécresse in the second round in a poll, Taubira measured at 2%

An OpinionWay poll published on Wednesday and conducted on December 8 and 9 surveyed the voting intentions of the French for the presidential round. The candidate designated by the right appears in a good place to qualify for the second round, to the detriment of Marine Le Pen. Christiane Taubira, whose ambitions have been mentioned since the beginning of the month, is not taking off.

The OpinionWay institute unveiled a new poll on Wednesday. The study, conducted online on December 8 and 9 with a panel of 962 of our fellow citizens, explores their voting intentions five months before the first round of the presidential election. And it emerges that Valérie Pécresse, herself overwhelmed by Emmanuel Macron, is ahead of Marine Le Pen in the race for the second part of the ballot. In the middle of a left-wing landscape still devastated, the candidacy of Christiane Taubira, now raised in broad daylight but still unofficial, does not appeal.

Contrasting performance for Pécresse

The ranking revealed this Wednesday by OpinionWay with regard to the political balance of power for the first round of the presidential election is as follows: the incumbent supplants the competition from the top of a base of 25% of voting intentions, eight points in front of the rival chosen by the right during its congress, Valérie Pécresse, at 17%. We then find Marine Le Pen, gauged at 16%, visibly ballasted by the candidacy of Eric Zemmour, flashed meanwhile at 12%.

In detail, it is in the usual right-wing electorate that Valérie Pécresse achieves her best scores. It convinces for the moment 27% of the 65 years and over, and collects 20% among the senior executives. Problem for her, however: not only does she share these audiences with Emmanuel Macron but in addition the latter brews there wider, with respectively 28 and 22% from these two segments.

The left still 36th below

The left, for its part, continues to vegetate according to this survey whose margin of uncertainty fluctuates between 1.4 to 3.2%. Only Jean-Luc Mélenchon and Yannick Jadot, with 8% of these hypothetical votes, are floating around for the moment. While her possible candidacy is currently in the center of attention, Christiane Taubira is not popular with the general public. The one who has been increasing consultations with personalities of his political family for two weeks, only collects 2% of the voting intentions.

When it comes time to take the temperature, the barometer for this month of December is therefore very fresh for the former Minister of Justice.

This study was carried out on a sample of 962 people registered on the electoral rolls, drawn from a sample of 1006 people representative of the French population aged 18 and over. The sample is drawn up according to the quota method, with regard to criteria of sex, age, socio-professional category, category of agglomeration and region of residence. The sample was interviewed by self-administered online questionnaire. The interviews were conducted from December 8 to 9, 2021.

Robin Verner BFMTV reporter