May 22, 2022

EXCLUSIVE SURVEY – Emmanuel Macron takes advantage of his presidential stature in public opinion

Posted 3 Feb. 2022 at 4:00 PMUpdated Feb 3. 2022 at 06:18 PM

After the clouds of January, in particular due to the mess around health protocols at school, the horizon clears up in February at the same time as some of the health restrictions are lifted. Down 4 points last month, Emmanuel Macron’s confidence rating regained 3 points in February in the Elabe barometer for “Les Echos” and Radio Classique, at 35%.

It is the same level of confidence as that granted to Nicolas Sarkozy at the same time of his five-year term, in February 2012, notes Bernard Sananès, president of Elabe, but with a very different electoral situation: a main adversary (François Hollande) so, when Emmanuel Macron faces a very fragmented political landscape.

Track that emerges

At the same time, voting intentions in favor of the Head of State increased slightly, with 25% (+1) in the first round, in the Elabe poll for BFMTV published on Wednesday. “This is good news for the Head of State, as if the track was clearing for his candidacy”, notes the pollster.

The explanation? “It’s the presidency, with the management of the health crisis and the feeling that in the end, the country is doing a little better than the others, that Emmanuel Macron has been able to hold the country. The presidential stature remains one of its assets”, analyzes Bernard Sananès.

In detail, the Head of State is progressing in particular with his voters in the first round of the 2017 presidential election, but also with those of François Fillon (+4 points, to 42%). These are obviously not voting intentions but it can count in the battle with LR candidate Valérie Pécresse for the right-wing electorate.

For now above the turbulence

However, there are still traces in the verbatim of the respondents of “pissing off the non-vaccinated”, “enough quoted and which reactivates the president of the rich”, warns Bernard Sananes, noting among the weaknesses in the image structure of the head of the State a real air pocket among the working people but also in rural areas, despite its movements, as in Creuse or Haute-Vienne recently.

Not yet officially a candidate for re-election, even if there is no doubt about this candidacy, only a question about the moment, Emmanuel Macron also benefits this month from the gaze of the French on the other presidential candidates, officials, them.

“The fact of not yet being an official candidate preserves him a little from the political game, while the French find that the campaign is not of good quality, observes Bernard Sananès. You would have thought it would backfire, but it puts him pretty much above the turbulence, for now.”